| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | The Citadel | 14 | #178 | @ Wofford | 5-3 | 42 | L | Wofford (-8.58) | 0% | -19.42 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | The Citadel | 43 | #176 | @ Charlotte | 1-6 | 41 | W | Charlotte (-13.86) | 100% | 15.86 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #201 | Charleston Southern | 2-4 | 26 | @ The Citadel | 20 | L | The Citadel (-3.34) | 0% | -9.34 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #170 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | 27 | @ The Citadel | 8 | L | The Citadel (+5.17) | 0% | -13.83 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | The Citadel | 34 | #194 | @ South Carolina State | 3-2 | 31 | W | South Carolina State (-12.12) | 100% | 15.12 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #122 | East Tennessee State | 4-2 | 34 | @ The Citadel | 16 | L | The Citadel (+10.56) | 0% | -7.44 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | The Citadel | 0 | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 4-3 | 41 | L | Texas A&M (-46.39) | 0% | 5.39 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | @ The Citadel | L | The Citadel (+11.14) | 25% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | The Citadel | #133 | @ Mercer | 6-2 | L | Mercer (-17.66) | 15% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | @ The Citadel | L | The Citadel (+3.87) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | The Citadel | #264 | @ VMI | 0-7 | W | VMI (+18.52) | 86% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | The Citadel | #156 | @ Western Carolina | 3-4 | L | Western Carolina (-12.66) | 22% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-840.6% 23-931.7% 35-719.4% 42-104.1% 56-63.9% 67-50.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||