| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #148 | Monmouth | 5-2 | 14 | @ Tennessee Tech | 38 | W | Tennessee Tech (-6.96) | 100% | 17.04 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Tennessee Tech | 24 | #170 | @ Chattanooga | 4-3 | 9 | W | Chattanooga (+7.67) | 100% | 7.33 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #233 | Samford | 1-6 | 19 | @ Tennessee Tech | 45 | W | Tennessee Tech (-24.92) | 100% | 1.08 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Tennessee Tech | 42 | #178 | @ Wofford | 5-3 | 38 | W | Wofford (+11.50) | 100% | -7.50 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Tennessee Tech | 20 | #156 | @ Western Carolina | 3-4 | 44 | L | Western Carolina (+7.51) | 0% | -31.51 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | 15 | @ Tennessee Tech | 20 | W | Tennessee Tech (-11.83) | 100% | -6.83 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 20 | @ Tennessee Tech | 49 | W | Tennessee Tech (-12.82) | 100% | 16.18 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Tennessee Tech | #214 | @ The Citadel | 2-5 | W | The Citadel (+11.14) | 75% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Tennessee Tech | #122 | @ East Tennessee State | 4-2 | L | East Tennessee State (-2.43) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | @ Tennessee Tech | W | Tennessee Tech (-37.00) | 98% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #133 | Mercer | 6-2 | @ Tennessee Tech | W | Tennessee Tech (-0.81) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Tennessee Tech | #28 | @ Mississippi State | 4-2 | L | Mississippi State (-30.00) | 5% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-342.4% 28-431.7% 310-218.0% 47-56.9% 511-10.8% 66-60.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.8% | ||||||||||||||||