| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #248 | Towson | 0-8 | 15 | @ Navy | 42 | W | Navy (-29.39) | 100% | -2.39 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Navy | 30 | #97 | @ Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 38 | L | Florida Atlantic (+11.68) | 0% | -19.68 | ||||||
| 9/25/2026 | Navy | 20 | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | 24 | L | UAB (+3.88) | 0% | -7.88 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Navy | 9 | #65 | @ Air Force | 5-1 | 14 | L | Air Force (-2.08) | 0% | -2.92 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | 26 | @ Navy | 34 | W | Navy (-2.58) | 100% | 5.42 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Navy | 34 | #39 | @ UTSA | 6-1 | 38 | L | UTSA (-9.00) | 0% | 5.00 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | @ Navy | L | Navy (+6.54) | 34% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #2 | Notre Dame | 6-1 | Navy | ✓ | L | Navy (+26.80) | 6% | ||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #140 | Temple | 2-5 | @ Navy | W | Navy (-7.82) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | @ Navy | L | Navy (+2.50) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Navy | #176 | @ Charlotte | 1-6 | W | Charlotte (+15.96) | 83% | |||||||||
| 12/12/2026 | Navy | #52 | Army | 4-2 | ✓ | L | Army (-7.28) | 33% | ||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-735.1% 24-831.0% 36-617.7% 43-911.1% 57-53.7% 62-101.2% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||