| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Samford | 10 | #168 | North Alabama | 4-3 | 22 | ✓ | L | North Alabama (-6.75) | 0% | -5.25 | |||||
| 9/3/2026 | #171 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 22 | @ Samford | 18 | L | Samford (+20.26) | 0% | 16.26 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Samford | 19 | #112 | @ Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 45 | L | Tennessee Tech (-24.92) | 0% | -1.08 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | 7 | @ Samford | 45 | W | Samford (-16.74) | 100% | 21.26 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Samford | 14 | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | 33 | L | UAB (-20.39) | 0% | 1.39 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Samford | 3 | #170 | @ Chattanooga | 4-3 | 19 | L | Chattanooga (-10.32) | 0% | -5.68 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #133 | Mercer | 6-2 | 31 | @ Samford | 21 | L | Samford (+13.46) | 0% | 3.46 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Samford | #198 | @ Furman | 1-5 | L | Furman (-6.32) | 35% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #178 | Wofford | 5-3 | @ Samford | L | Samford (+0.72) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Samford | #122 | @ East Tennessee State | 4-2 | L | East Tennessee State (-12.62) | 22% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #156 | Western Carolina | 3-4 | @ Samford | L | Samford (+4.99) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Samford | #27 | @ Auburn | 4-2 | L | Auburn (-43.80) | 1% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-1038.3% 23-932.4% 31-1116.2% 44-811.6% 55-71.5% 66-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||