| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 15 | @ Mercer | 23 | W | Mercer (-16.59) | 100% | -8.59 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #247 | Presbyterian | 3-3 | 3 | @ Mercer | 62 | W | Mercer (-13.55) | 100% | 45.45 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | 20 | @ Mercer | 13 | L | Mercer (-23.21) | 0% | -30.21 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Mercer | 11 | #96 | @ Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 44 | L | Georgia Tech (-15.59) | 0% | -17.41 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Mercer | 34 | #121 | @ Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 17 | W | Abilene Christian (-2.21) | 100% | 19.21 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Mercer | 54 | #264 | @ VMI | 0-7 | 3 | W | VMI (+31.63) | 100% | 19.37 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #156 | Western Carolina | 3-4 | 14 | @ Mercer | 17 | W | Mercer (-9.50) | 100% | -6.50 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Mercer | 31 | #233 | @ Samford | 1-6 | 21 | W | Samford (+13.46) | 100% | -3.46 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | @ Mercer | W | Mercer (-17.66) | 85% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Mercer | #170 | @ Chattanooga | 4-3 | W | Chattanooga (+2.39) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Mercer | #112 | @ Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | L | Tennessee Tech (-0.81) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #122 | East Tennessee State | 4-2 | @ Mercer | W | Mercer (-3.88) | 60% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-337.2% 28-435.0% 310-213.7% 47-512.9% 56-61.4% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 13.7% | ||||||||||||||||