| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #129 | Campbell | 6-1 | 49 | @ East Tennessee State | 37 | L | East Tennessee State (-13.05) | 0% | -25.05 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | East Tennessee State | 3 | #29 | @ North Carolina | 4-2 | 35 | L | North Carolina (-23.55) | 0% | -8.45 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #252 | West Georgia | 0-6 | 27 | @ East Tennessee State | 35 | W | East Tennessee State (-9.41) | 100% | -1.41 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #156 | Western Carolina | 3-4 | 31 | @ East Tennessee State | 58 | W | East Tennessee State (+1.74) | 100% | 28.74 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #170 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | 3 | @ East Tennessee State | 14 | W | East Tennessee State (-2.36) | 100% | 8.64 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | East Tennessee State | 34 | #214 | @ The Citadel | 2-5 | 16 | W | The Citadel (+10.56) | 100% | 7.44 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | East Tennessee State | #264 | @ VMI | 0-7 | W | VMI (+30.49) | 95% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | @ East Tennessee State | W | East Tennessee State (-2.43) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #233 | Samford | 1-6 | @ East Tennessee State | W | East Tennessee State (-12.62) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | East Tennessee State | #178 | @ Wofford | 5-3 | W | Wofford (+5.43) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | East Tennessee State | #133 | @ Mercer | 6-2 | L | Mercer (-3.88) | 40% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-436.5% 28-333.8% 36-516.3% 49-210.7% 55-62.7% 64-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 10.7% | ||||||||||||||||