| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Chattanooga | 24 | #252 | @ West Georgia | 0-6 | 10 | W | West Georgia (-12.53) | 100% | 26.53 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 24 | @ Chattanooga | 9 | L | Chattanooga (+7.67) | 0% | -7.33 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Chattanooga | 17 | #222 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 22 | L | Eastern Kentucky (+0.49) | 0% | -5.49 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #178 | Wofford | 5-3 | 7 | @ Chattanooga | 41 | W | Chattanooga (+0.90) | 100% | 34.90 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Chattanooga | 27 | #214 | @ The Citadel | 2-5 | 8 | W | The Citadel (+5.17) | 100% | 13.83 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Chattanooga | 3 | #122 | @ East Tennessee State | 4-2 | 14 | L | East Tennessee State (-2.36) | 0% | -8.64 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #233 | Samford | 1-6 | 3 | @ Chattanooga | 19 | W | Chattanooga (-10.32) | 100% | 5.68 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Chattanooga | #156 | @ Western Carolina | 3-4 | L | Western Carolina (-3.35) | 42% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | @ Chattanooga | W | Chattanooga (-33.35) | 97% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #133 | Mercer | 6-2 | @ Chattanooga | L | Chattanooga (+2.39) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Chattanooga | #198 | @ Furman | 1-5 | W | Furman (+2.18) | 55% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Chattanooga | #8 | @ Alabama | 5-2 | L | Alabama (-51.71) | 1% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-639.6% 27-534.5% 35-715.3% 48-410.0% 54-80.5% 69-30.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||