| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | St. Thomas (MN) | 26 | #98 | @ North Dakota | 6-2 | 62 | L | North Dakota (-21.36) | 0% | -14.64 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #177 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | 26 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 28 | W | St. Thomas (MN) (+0.11) | 100% | 2.11 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #245 | San Diego | 3-4 | 17 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 50 | W | St. Thomas (MN) (-9.22) | 100% | 23.78 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | St. Thomas (MN) | 21 | #247 | @ Presbyterian | 3-3 | 55 | L | Presbyterian (+17.63) | 0% | -51.63 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #263 | Stetson | 0-6 | 21 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 64 | W | St. Thomas (MN) (-25.47) | 100% | 17.53 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | St. Thomas (MN) | #232 | @ Marist | 3-3 | W | Marist (+1.72) | 54% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #265 | Davidson | 2-4 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | W | St. Thomas (MN) (-30.16) | 95% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | St. Thomas (MN) | #203 | @ Butler | 3-2 | L | Butler (-2.66) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #251 | Drake | 2-4 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | W | St. Thomas (MN) (-9.84) | 73% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | St. Thomas (MN) | #257 | @ Valparaiso | 2-4 | W | Valparaiso (+6.62) | 66% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-436.1% 27-333.3% 35-516.7% 48-210.8% 54-63.0% 63-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 10.8% | ||||||||||||||||