| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Presbyterian | 3 | #133 | @ Mercer | 6-2 | 62 | L | Mercer (-13.55) | 0% | -45.45 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Presbyterian | 14 | #156 | @ Western Carolina | 3-4 | 58 | L | Western Carolina (-15.09) | 0% | -28.91 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Presbyterian | 7 | #232 | @ Marist | 3-3 | 42 | L | Marist (-7.07) | 0% | -27.93 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #202 | St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | 21 | @ Presbyterian | 55 | W | Presbyterian (+17.63) | 100% | 51.63 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #265 | Davidson | 2-4 | 21 | @ Presbyterian | 38 | W | Presbyterian (-20.31) | 100% | -3.31 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Presbyterian | 47 | #263 | @ Stetson | 0-6 | 43 | W | Stetson (+12.96) | 100% | -8.96 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Presbyterian | #257 | @ Valparaiso | 2-4 | L | Valparaiso (-3.59) | 41% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #203 | Butler | 3-2 | @ Presbyterian | L | Presbyterian (+9.61) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Presbyterian | #266 | @ Morehead State | 0-5 | W | Morehead State (+12.15) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #212 | Dayton | 3-1 | @ Presbyterian | L | Presbyterian (+6.67) | 34% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-539.9% 24-632.0% 36-418.7% 43-76.4% 57-33.0% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||