| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | Marist | 21 | #241 | @ New Haven | 2-5 | 22 | L | New Haven (-0.32) | 0% | -0.68 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Marist | 9 | #235 | @ Lafayette | 2-4 | 13 | L | Lafayette (-11.00) | 0% | 7.00 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #247 | Presbyterian | 3-3 | 7 | @ Marist | 42 | W | Marist (-7.07) | 100% | 27.93 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Marist | 28 | #263 | @ Stetson | 0-6 | 14 | W | Stetson (+19.36) | 100% | -5.36 | ||||||
| 10/9/2026 | #158 | Columbia | 4-1 | 41 | @ Marist | 28 | L | Marist (-3.63) | 0% | -16.63 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Marist | 27 | #251 | @ Drake | 2-4 | 22 | W | Drake (-0.69) | 100% | 5.69 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #202 | St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | @ Marist | L | Marist (+1.72) | 46% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Marist | #245 | @ San Diego | 3-4 | L | San Diego (-1.03) | 47% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | @ Marist | W | Marist (-24.59) | 92% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #203 | Butler | 3-2 | @ Marist | L | Marist (+3.50) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Marist | #265 | @ Davidson | 2-4 | W | Davidson (+20.84) | 89% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-539.4% 27-428.8% 35-621.1% 48-37.3% 54-73.2% 63-80.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 7.3% | ||||||||||||||||