| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Drake | 10 | #130 | @ Montana | 5-3 | 45 | L | Montana (-25.14) | 0% | -9.86 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Drake | 14 | #127 | @ Northern Iowa | 3-3 | 56 | L | Northern Iowa (-8.86) | 0% | -33.14 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Drake | 51 | #265 | @ Davidson | 2-4 | 32 | W | Davidson (+13.45) | 100% | 5.55 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #212 | Dayton | 3-1 | 22 | @ Drake | 30 | W | Drake (+0.31) | 100% | 8.31 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Drake | 13 | #257 | @ Valparaiso | 2-4 | 21 | L | Valparaiso (+4.57) | 0% | -12.57 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #232 | Marist | 3-3 | 27 | @ Drake | 22 | L | Drake (-0.69) | 0% | -5.69 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #203 | Butler | 3-2 | @ Drake | L | Drake (+5.95) | 36% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Drake | #266 | @ Morehead State | 0-5 | W | Morehead State (+15.64) | 83% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #245 | San Diego | 3-4 | @ Drake | W | Drake (-1.96) | 55% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Drake | #202 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | L | St. Thomas (MN) (-9.84) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-642.4% 23-725.3% 35-524.2% 46-44.4% 52-83.7% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 4.4% | ||||||||||||||||