| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #236 | Elon | 3-4 | 38 | @ Davidson | 0 | L | Davidson (+22.95) | 0% | -15.05 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #264 | VMI | 0-7 | 24 | @ Davidson | 27 | W | Davidson (+1.22) | 100% | 4.22 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #251 | Drake | 2-4 | 51 | @ Davidson | 32 | L | Davidson (+13.45) | 0% | -5.55 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Davidson | 14 | #245 | @ San Diego | 3-4 | 63 | L | San Diego (-19.02) | 0% | -29.98 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Davidson | 21 | #247 | @ Presbyterian | 3-3 | 38 | L | Presbyterian (-20.31) | 0% | 3.31 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | 31 | @ Davidson | 34 | W | Davidson (-0.43) | 100% | 2.57 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Davidson | #202 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | L | St. Thomas (MN) (-30.16) | 5% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #263 | Stetson | 0-6 | @ Davidson | L | Davidson (+4.21) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Davidson | #212 | @ Dayton | 3-1 | L | Dayton (-28.09) | 6% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #232 | Marist | 3-3 | @ Davidson | L | Davidson (+20.84) | 11% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-848.3% 23-743.0% 34-68.2% 45-50.5% 56-4<0.1% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||