| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | Butler | 24 | #84 | @ Montana State | 6-1 | 51 | L | Montana State (-45.32) | 0% | 18.32 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #262 | Chicago State | 0-5 | 20 | @ Butler | 47 | W | Butler (+5.55) | 100% | 32.55 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Butler | 33 | #257 | @ Valparaiso | 2-4 | 28 | W | Valparaiso (+16.01) | 100% | -11.01 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #245 | San Diego | 3-4 | 10 | @ Butler | 41 | W | Butler (-7.51) | 100% | 23.49 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #212 | Dayton | 3-1 | 19 | @ Butler | 9 | L | Butler (-8.20) | 0% | -18.20 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Butler | #251 | @ Drake | 2-4 | W | Drake (+5.95) | 64% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Butler | #247 | @ Presbyterian | 3-3 | W | Presbyterian (+9.61) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #202 | St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | @ Butler | W | Butler (-2.66) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Butler | #232 | @ Marist | 3-3 | W | Marist (+3.50) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | @ Butler | W | Butler (-31.55) | 96% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-336.3% 26-433.1% 38-214.8% 45-513.4% 54-62.2% 63-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 14.8% | ||||||||||||||||