| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | William & Mary | 35 | #206 | @ Villanova | 3-4 | 32 | W | Villanova (-13.04) | 100% | 16.04 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #216 | Delaware State | 2-3 | 15 | @ William & Mary | 22 | W | William & Mary (-8.34) | 100% | -1.34 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | William & Mary | 20 | #113 | @ Lehigh | 6-1 | 44 | L | Lehigh (-14.71) | 0% | -9.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #225 | Fordham | 2-6 | 52 | @ William & Mary | 27 | L | William & Mary (-17.12) | 0% | -42.12 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | William & Mary | 7 | #48 | @ Duke | 4-2 | 62 | L | Duke (-42.32) | 0% | -12.68 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #207 | Holy Cross | 2-5 | 41 | @ William & Mary | 14 | L | William & Mary (-2.92) | 0% | -29.92 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | William & Mary | 17 | #256 | @ North Carolina Central | 1-5 | 14 | W | North Carolina Central (-5.04) | 100% | 8.04 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #204 | Georgetown | 2-4 | @ William & Mary | L | William & Mary (+1.02) | 47% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | William & Mary | #141 | @ Colgate | 4-3 | L | Colgate (-19.23) | 13% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #235 | Lafayette | 2-4 | @ William & Mary | W | William & Mary (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #258 | Bucknell | 1-6 | @ William & Mary | W | William & Mary (-5.06) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | William & Mary | #183 | @ Richmond | 5-2 | L | Richmond (-8.52) | 30% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-737.2% 24-825.0% 36-624.5% 47-56.7% 53-96.0% 68-40.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.6% | ||||||||||||||||