| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | 35 | @ Villanova | 32 | L | Villanova (-13.04) | 0% | -16.04 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Villanova | 17 | #258 | @ Bucknell | 1-6 | 16 | W | Bucknell (+18.20) | 100% | -17.20 | ||||||
| 9/11/2026 | Villanova | 13 | #40 | @ Louisville | 4-3 | 59 | L | Louisville (-29.63) | 0% | -16.37 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Villanova | 20 | #215 | @ Long Island University | 3-5 | 16 | W | Long Island University (+7.80) | 100% | -3.80 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #141 | Colgate | 4-3 | 28 | @ Villanova | 21 | L | Villanova (+0.93) | 0% | -6.07 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #192 | Morgan State | 4-2 | 38 | @ Villanova | 35 | L | Villanova (-10.26) | 0% | -13.26 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Villanova | 38 | #225 | @ Fordham | 2-6 | 17 | W | Fordham (-0.52) | 100% | 21.52 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #113 | Lehigh | 6-1 | @ Villanova | L | Villanova (+9.26) | 28% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Villanova | #235 | @ Lafayette | 2-4 | W | Lafayette (+2.78) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #183 | Richmond | 5-2 | @ Villanova | W | Villanova (-4.59) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Villanova | #207 | @ Holy Cross | 2-5 | W | Holy Cross (+1.13) | 53% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #204 | Georgetown | 2-4 | @ Villanova | W | Villanova (-4.63) | 61% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-633.7% 25-730.4% 37-517.4% 44-813.1% 58-43.2% 63-92.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.2% | ||||||||||||||||