| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #258 | Bucknell | 1-6 | 14 | @ Richmond | 35 | W | Richmond (-10.77) | 100% | 10.23 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Richmond | 28 | #209 | @ Howard | 2-4 | 21 | W | Howard (+5.10) | 100% | 1.90 | ||||||
| 9/11/2026 | Richmond | 0 | #77 | @ NC State | 3-3 | 73 | L | NC State (-30.85) | 0% | -42.15 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #204 | Georgetown | 2-4 | 21 | @ Richmond | 24 | W | Richmond (-7.40) | 100% | -4.40 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | 9 | @ Richmond | 13 | W | Richmond (+3.06) | 100% | 7.06 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Richmond | 40 | #235 | @ Lafayette | 2-4 | 31 | W | Lafayette (-2.93) | 100% | 11.93 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Richmond | 14 | #225 | @ Fordham | 2-6 | 20 | L | Fordham (+0.01) | 0% | -6.01 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #141 | Colgate | 4-3 | @ Richmond | L | Richmond (+5.68) | 36% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Richmond | #207 | @ Holy Cross | 2-5 | L | Holy Cross (-1.23) | 47% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Richmond | #206 | @ Villanova | 3-4 | L | Villanova (-4.59) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #113 | Lehigh | 6-1 | @ Richmond | L | Richmond (+11.20) | 25% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | @ Richmond | W | Richmond (-8.52) | 70% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-536.2% 28-426.7% 36-622.2% 49-39.0% 55-74.7% 610-21.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.1% | ||||||||||||||||