| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Florida Atlantic | 21 | #18 | @ Florida | 5-2 | 66 | L | Florida (-20.95) | 0% | -24.05 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | 30 | @ Florida Atlantic | 38 | W | Florida Atlantic (+11.68) | 100% | 19.68 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #108 | Florida International | 3-3 | 10 | @ Florida Atlantic | 16 | W | Florida Atlantic (+0.33) | 100% | 6.33 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Florida Atlantic | 45 | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | 17 | W | UL Monroe (+6.94) | 100% | 21.06 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #261 | Texas Southern | 1-5 | 10 | @ Florida Atlantic | 66 | W | Florida Atlantic (-34.23) | 100% | 21.77 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Florida Atlantic | 24 | #52 | @ Army | 4-2 | 56 | L | Army (-6.03) | 0% | -25.97 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #142 | Rice | 1-6 | @ Florida Atlantic | W | Florida Atlantic (-6.37) | 65% | |||||||||
| 10/29/2026 | Florida Atlantic | #42 | @ North Texas | 4-2 | L | North Texas (-16.81) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/6/2026 | #39 | UTSA | 6-1 | @ Florida Atlantic | L | Florida Atlantic (+4.80) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Florida Atlantic | #87 | @ Tulsa | 4-3 | L | Tulsa (-6.20) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #71 | South Florida | 5-2 | @ Florida Atlantic | L | Florida Atlantic (+3.39) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | Florida Atlantic | #128 | @ East Carolina | 3-3 | L | East Carolina (-2.18) | 45% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-632.5% 27-528.9% 35-718.0% 48-413.5% 54-83.8% 69-33.1% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||