| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Lafayette | 7 | #132 | @ UConn | 3-3 | 56 | L | UConn (-20.42) | 0% | -28.58 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #232 | Marist | 3-3 | 9 | @ Lafayette | 13 | W | Lafayette (-11.00) | 100% | -7.00 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Lafayette | 34 | #158 | @ Columbia | 4-1 | 40 | L | Columbia (-1.72) | 0% | -4.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #207 | Holy Cross | 2-5 | 38 | @ Lafayette | 30 | L | Lafayette (-4.54) | 0% | -12.54 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #183 | Richmond | 5-2 | 40 | @ Lafayette | 31 | L | Lafayette (-2.93) | 0% | -11.93 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Lafayette | 20 | #258 | @ Bucknell | 1-6 | 7 | W | Bucknell (+4.24) | 100% | 8.76 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Lafayette | #225 | @ Fordham | 2-6 | L | Fordham (-3.74) | 41% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #206 | Villanova | 3-4 | @ Lafayette | L | Lafayette (+2.78) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Lafayette | #228 | @ William & Mary | 3-4 | L | William & Mary (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Lafayette | #141 | @ Colgate | 4-3 | L | Colgate (-16.07) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #113 | Lehigh | 6-1 | @ Lafayette | L | Lafayette (+15.02) | 18% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-735.0% 23-832.9% 35-616.8% 42-911.5% 56-53.5% 67-40.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||