| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | Colgate | 24 | #225 | @ Fordham | 2-6 | 14 | W | Fordham (+5.71) | 100% | 4.29 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #207 | Holy Cross | 2-5 | 10 | @ Colgate | 35 | W | Colgate (-7.13) | 100% | 17.87 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Colgate | 10 | #104 | @ Central Michigan | 3-4 | 13 | L | Central Michigan (-11.08) | 0% | 8.08 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #117 | Cornell | 3-2 | 7 | @ Colgate | 20 | W | Colgate (-9.04) | 100% | 3.96 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Colgate | 28 | #206 | @ Villanova | 3-4 | 21 | W | Villanova (+0.93) | 100% | 6.07 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Colgate | 17 | #80 | @ Harvard | 5-0 | 20 | L | Harvard (-7.07) | 0% | 4.07 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #204 | Georgetown | 2-4 | 27 | @ Colgate | 17 | L | Colgate (-21.08) | 0% | -31.08 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Colgate | #183 | @ Richmond | 5-2 | W | Richmond (+5.68) | 64% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | @ Colgate | W | Colgate (-19.23) | 87% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Colgate | #113 | @ Lehigh | 6-1 | L | Lehigh (-6.43) | 34% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #235 | Lafayette | 2-4 | @ Colgate | W | Colgate (-16.07) | 83% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Colgate | #258 | @ Bucknell | 1-6 | W | Bucknell (+18.05) | 86% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-440.9% 27-533.3% 39-313.7% 46-610.6% 55-71.4% 64-80.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 13.7% | ||||||||||||||||