| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | 41 | @ Western Illinois | 10 | L | Western Illinois (+14.54) | 0% | -16.46 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Western Illinois | 9 | #33 | @ Wisconsin | 4-2 | 36 | L | Wisconsin (-37.70) | 0% | 10.70 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | 2 | @ Western Illinois | 59 | W | Western Illinois (-16.09) | 100% | 40.91 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Western Illinois | 20 | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | 23 | L | North Alabama (-1.77) | 0% | -1.23 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #210 | Tennessee State | 2-5 | 21 | @ Western Illinois | 28 | W | Western Illinois (-14.29) | 100% | -7.29 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Western Illinois | 30 | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 40 | L | Southeast Missouri State (-5.42) | 0% | -4.58 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #191 | UT Martin | 3-4 | @ Western Illinois | W | Western Illinois (-2.93) | 57% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Western Illinois | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | W | Charleston Southern (+0.52) | 51% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Western Illinois | #220 | @ Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | W | Eastern Illinois (+4.83) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | @ Western Illinois | W | Western Illinois (-1.97) | 55% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Western Illinois | #219 | @ Lindenwood | 2-4 | W | Lindenwood (+3.40) | 58% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-634.3% 24-726.1% 36-522.4% 43-89.9% 57-45.8% 62-91.5% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 5.8% | ||||||||||||||||