| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #205 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 | 36 | @ UT Martin | 24 | L | UT Martin (-4.81) | 0% | -16.81 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #262 | Chicago State | 0-5 | 7 | @ UT Martin | 42 | W | UT Martin (+7.46) | 100% | 42.46 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | UT Martin | 7 | #68 | @ West Virginia | 4-3 | 52 | L | West Virginia (-17.71) | 0% | -27.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | UT Martin | 21 | #55 | @ Memphis | 5-2 | 45 | L | Memphis (-29.31) | 0% | 5.31 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | UT Martin | 12 | #135 | @ Austin Peay | 6-2 | 35 | L | Austin Peay (-20.71) | 0% | -2.29 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | UT Martin | 42 | #210 | @ Tennessee State | 2-5 | 28 | W | Tennessee State (+7.81) | 100% | 6.19 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 6 | @ UT Martin | 17 | W | UT Martin (+0.65) | 100% | 11.65 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | UT Martin | #199 | @ Western Illinois | 2-4 | L | Western Illinois (-2.93) | 43% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #220 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | @ UT Martin | W | UT Martin (-8.43) | 70% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | UT Martin | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | L | Charleston Southern (-0.87) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #219 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | @ UT Martin | W | UT Martin (-7.72) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | UT Martin | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | L | Southeast Missouri State (-8.20) | 31% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-634.0% 25-731.3% 37-516.7% 44-813.0% 58-43.0% 63-92.0% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||