| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | 23 | #188 | @ Indiana State | 2-5 | 21 | W | Indiana State (-4.85) | 100% | 6.85 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | 10 | #43 | @ Iowa State | 3-3 | 38 | L | Iowa State (-38.63) | 0% | 10.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | 20 | #171 | @ Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 34 | L | Southern Illinois (-14.30) | 0% | 0.30 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #205 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 | 9 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 27 | W | Southeast Missouri State (-3.86) | 100% | 14.14 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #151 | West Florida | 3-2 | 20 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 17 | L | Southeast Missouri State (+4.89) | 0% | 1.89 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | 38 | #219 | @ Lindenwood | 2-4 | 27 | W | Lindenwood (+4.73) | 100% | 6.27 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #199 | Western Illinois | 2-4 | 30 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 40 | W | Southeast Missouri State (-5.42) | 100% | 4.58 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | #220 | @ Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | W | Eastern Illinois (+7.92) | 69% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | @ Southeast Missouri State | W | Southeast Missouri State (-6.89) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | #210 | @ Tennessee State | 2-5 | W | Tennessee State (+8.73) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Southeast Missouri State | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | W | Charleston Southern (+3.61) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #191 | UT Martin | 3-4 | @ Southeast Missouri State | W | Southeast Missouri State (-8.20) | 69% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-433.2% 27-533.0% 36-616.2% 49-313.2% 55-74.0% 64-80.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 13.2% | ||||||||||||||||