| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 17 | #135 | @ Austin Peay | 6-2 | 35 | L | Austin Peay (-13.24) | 0% | -4.76 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 13 | #178 | @ Wofford | 5-3 | 17 | L | Wofford (-10.33) | 0% | 6.33 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 23 | #63 | @ Liberty | 5-1 | 24 | L | Liberty (-18.42) | 0% | 17.42 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #256 | North Carolina Central | 1-5 | 20 | @ Gardner-Webb | 44 | W | Gardner-Webb (-9.93) | 100% | 14.07 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 35 | ✓ | #146 | @ Marshall | 3-3 | 36 | L | Marshall (-11.73) | 0% | 10.73 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 12 | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | 10 | W | Charleston Southern (+5.60) | 100% | -3.60 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #220 | Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | 21 | @ Gardner-Webb | 7 | L | Gardner-Webb (-16.12) | 0% | -30.12 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Gardner-Webb | 6 | #191 | @ UT Martin | 3-4 | 17 | L | UT Martin (+0.65) | 0% | -11.65 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Gardner-Webb | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | L | Southeast Missouri State (-6.89) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #219 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | @ Gardner-Webb | W | Gardner-Webb (-7.13) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Gardner-Webb | #199 | @ Western Illinois | 2-4 | L | Western Illinois (-1.97) | 45% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #210 | Tennessee State | 2-5 | @ Gardner-Webb | W | Gardner-Webb (-8.56) | 70% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-839.5% 25-729.3% 33-920.5% 46-67.1% 52-103.6% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 7.1% | ||||||||||||||||