| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Eastern Illinois | 28 | #246 | @ Murray State | 1-6 | 14 | W | Murray State (-4.61) | 100% | 18.61 | ||||||
| 9/4/2026 | Eastern Illinois | 7 | #60 | @ Minnesota | 4-2 | 59 | L | Minnesota (-33.43) | 0% | -18.57 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #188 | Indiana State | 2-5 | 42 | @ Eastern Illinois | 35 | L | Eastern Illinois (+1.80) | 0% | -5.20 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Eastern Illinois | 13 | #114 | @ Illinois State | 4-2 | 49 | L | Illinois State (-27.40) | 0% | -8.60 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Eastern Illinois | 7 | #90 | @ South Dakota State | 5-2 | 42 | L | South Dakota State (-30.40) | 0% | -4.60 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Eastern Illinois | 21 | #217 | @ Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 7 | W | Gardner-Webb (-16.12) | 100% | 30.12 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #219 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | 20 | @ Eastern Illinois | 13 | L | Eastern Illinois (-2.69) | 0% | -9.69 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #155 | Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | @ Eastern Illinois | L | Eastern Illinois (+7.92) | 31% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Eastern Illinois | #191 | @ UT Martin | 3-4 | L | UT Martin (-8.43) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #199 | Western Illinois | 2-4 | @ Eastern Illinois | L | Eastern Illinois (+4.83) | 38% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Eastern Illinois | #210 | @ Tennessee State | 2-5 | L | Tennessee State (-1.16) | 47% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #201 | Charleston Southern | 2-4 | @ Eastern Illinois | L | Eastern Illinois (+1.39) | 47% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-835.0% 23-927.4% 35-721.8% 42-108.4% 56-66.6% 67-50.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.8% | ||||||||||||||||