| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #238 | Robert Morris | 2-4 | 28 | @ Wagner | 7 | L | Wagner (-5.20) | 0% | -26.20 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Wagner | 3 | #26 | @ James Madison | 7-0 | 87 | L | James Madison (-52.28) | 0% | -31.72 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Wagner | 7 | #95 | @ California | 3-4 | 49 | L | California (-44.86) | 0% | 2.86 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Wagner | 14 | #187 | @ Central Connecticut | 2-3 | 45 | L | Central Connecticut (-19.03) | 0% | -11.97 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #105 | Princeton | 4-1 | 28 | @ Wagner | 13 | L | Wagner (+24.66) | 0% | 9.66 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #215 | Long Island University | 3-5 | 14 | @ Wagner | 9 | L | Wagner (+10.19) | 0% | 5.19 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Wagner | #229 | @ Duquesne | 1-4 | L | Duquesne (-11.80) | 24% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Wagner | #244 | @ Merrimack | 2-5 | L | Merrimack (-7.33) | 32% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Wagner | #249 | @ Mercyhurst | 0-6 | L | Mercyhurst (-9.50) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #241 | New Haven | 2-5 | @ Wagner | L | Wagner (+6.70) | 34% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Wagner | #231 | @ Stonehill | 2-5 | L | Stonehill (-13.59) | 20% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 11-1038.1% 22-929.1% 30-1119.6% 43-811.0% 54-72.0% 65-60.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||