| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #169 | Bryant | 5-2 | 24 | @ Stonehill | 6 | L | Stonehill (-3.19) | 0% | -21.19 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Stonehill | 21 | #241 | @ New Haven | 2-5 | 3 | W | New Haven (-2.96) | 100% | 20.96 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Stonehill | 35 | #243 | @ New Hampshire | 2-6 | 42 | L | New Hampshire (-8.10) | 0% | 1.10 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Stonehill | 14 | #143 | @ Massachusetts | 4-3 | 36 | L | Massachusetts (-18.68) | 0% | -3.32 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Stonehill | 7 | #73 | @ Ohio | 5-2 | 35 | L | Ohio (-34.40) | 0% | 6.40 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Stonehill | 28 | #240 | @ Sacred Heart | 3-4 | 7 | W | Sacred Heart (-8.77) | 100% | 29.77 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #229 | Duquesne | 1-4 | 14 | @ Stonehill | 7 | L | Stonehill (-8.01) | 0% | -15.01 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Stonehill | #215 | @ Long Island University | 3-5 | L | Long Island University (-1.88) | 45% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | @ Stonehill | W | Stonehill (-5.79) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #187 | Central Connecticut | 2-3 | @ Stonehill | L | Stonehill (+1.67) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Stonehill | #238 | @ Robert Morris | 2-4 | W | Robert Morris (+0.46) | 51% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | @ Stonehill | W | Stonehill (-13.59) | 80% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-735.7% 24-826.4% 36-622.5% 43-98.9% 57-55.4% 62-101.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 5.4% | ||||||||||||||||