| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Mercyhurst | 10 | #72 | @ Youngstown State | 6-2 | 43 | L | Youngstown State (-21.26) | 0% | -11.74 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Mercyhurst | 14 | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | 51 | L | New Mexico State (-22.28) | 0% | -14.72 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Mercyhurst | 7 | #58 | @ New Mexico | 5-1 | 70 | L | New Mexico (-42.26) | 0% | -20.74 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Mercyhurst | 7 | #137 | @ Western Kentucky | 3-4 | 52 | L | Western Kentucky (-27.28) | 0% | -17.72 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Mercyhurst | 24 | #215 | @ Long Island University | 3-5 | 27 | L | Long Island University (-8.93) | 0% | 5.93 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #187 | Central Connecticut | 2-3 | 43 | @ Mercyhurst | 40 | L | Mercyhurst (+7.92) | 0% | 4.92 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Mercyhurst | #238 | @ Robert Morris | 2-4 | L | Robert Morris (-2.80) | 43% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Mercyhurst | #231 | @ Stonehill | 2-5 | L | Stonehill (-5.79) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | @ Mercyhurst | W | Mercyhurst (-9.50) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Mercyhurst | #229 | @ Duquesne | 1-4 | L | Duquesne (-4.67) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #241 | New Haven | 2-5 | @ Mercyhurst | W | Mercyhurst (-0.55) | 51% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-933.6% 23-830.8% 31-1017.0% 44-713.3% 50-113.0% 65-62.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.2% | ||||||||||||||||