| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | Long Island University | 21 | #98 | @ North Dakota | 6-2 | 42 | L | North Dakota (-27.41) | 0% | 6.41 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Long Island University | 6 | #93 | @ Kansas | 2-4 | 51 | L | Kansas (-34.08) | 0% | -10.92 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #150 | UAlbany | 4-3 | 35 | @ Long Island University | 13 | L | Long Island University (-1.08) | 0% | -23.08 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #206 | Villanova | 3-4 | 20 | @ Long Island University | 16 | L | Long Island University (+7.80) | 0% | 3.80 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Long Island University | 3 | #108 | @ Florida International | 3-3 | 20 | L | Florida International (-27.49) | 0% | 10.49 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | 24 | @ Long Island University | 27 | W | Long Island University (-8.93) | 100% | -5.93 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Long Island University | 17 | #229 | @ Duquesne | 1-4 | 14 | W | Duquesne (-0.25) | 100% | 3.25 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Long Island University | 14 | #255 | @ Wagner | 0-6 | 9 | W | Wagner (+10.19) | 100% | -5.19 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #231 | Stonehill | 2-5 | @ Long Island University | W | Long Island University (-1.88) | 55% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Long Island University | #241 | @ New Haven | 2-5 | L | New Haven (-0.74) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #187 | Central Connecticut | 2-3 | @ Long Island University | L | Long Island University (+2.33) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Long Island University | #238 | @ Robert Morris | 2-4 | W | Robert Morris (+0.93) | 52% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-737.7% 24-825.2% 36-624.8% 43-96.3% 57-56.1% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 6.1% | ||||||||||||||||