| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | 43 | @ Charlotte | 41 | L | Charlotte (-13.86) | 0% | -15.86 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Charlotte | 9 | #11 | @ Ole Miss | 5-1 | 41 | L | Ole Miss (-39.04) | 0% | 7.04 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Charlotte | 21 | #123 | @ App State | 4-2 | 26 | L | App State (-18.91) | 0% | 13.91 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | 34 | @ Charlotte | 7 | L | Charlotte (+9.02) | 0% | -17.98 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | 59 | @ Charlotte | 8 | L | Charlotte (+21.30) | 0% | -29.70 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | Charlotte | 10 | #42 | @ North Texas | 4-2 | 50 | L | North Texas (-37.97) | 0% | -2.03 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Charlotte | 38 | #140 | @ Temple | 2-5 | 31 | W | Temple (-26.12) | 100% | 33.12 | |||||
| 10/30/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | @ Charlotte | L | Charlotte (+15.52) | 17% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Charlotte | #106 | @ UAB | 4-3 | L | UAB (-15.36) | 18% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #128 | East Carolina | 3-3 | @ Charlotte | L | Charlotte (+12.05) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Charlotte | #87 | @ Tulsa | 4-3 | L | Tulsa (-21.81) | 10% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | @ Charlotte | L | Charlotte (+15.96) | 17% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-1040.7% 21-1139.0% 33-916.6% 44-83.3% 55-70.3% 66-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||