| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Duquesne | 0 | #65 | @ Air Force | 5-1 | 34 | L | Air Force (-23.14) | 0% | -10.86 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Duquesne | 13 | #72 | @ Youngstown State | 6-2 | 70 | L | Youngstown State (-18.67) | 0% | -38.33 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Duquesne | 7 | #139 | @ Washington State | 1-6 | 48 | L | Washington State (-39.87) | 0% | -1.13 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #215 | Long Island University | 3-5 | 17 | @ Duquesne | 14 | L | Duquesne (-0.25) | 0% | -3.25 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Duquesne | 14 | #231 | @ Stonehill | 2-5 | 7 | W | Stonehill (-8.01) | 100% | 15.01 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | @ Duquesne | W | Duquesne (-11.80) | 76% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Duquesne | #241 | @ New Haven | 2-5 | L | New Haven (-3.11) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #238 | Robert Morris | 2-4 | @ Duquesne | W | Duquesne (-2.81) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | @ Duquesne | W | Duquesne (-4.67) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Duquesne | #187 | @ Central Connecticut | 2-3 | L | Central Connecticut (-10.02) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-635.1% 23-730.7% 35-517.6% 42-812.0% 56-43.0% 61-91.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.0% | ||||||||||||||||