| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Central Connecticut | 20 | #92 | @ South Dakota | 6-2 | 59 | L | South Dakota (-16.72) | 0% | -22.28 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Central Connecticut | 10 | #74 | @ Toledo | 5-2 | 63 | L | Toledo (-36.76) | 0% | -16.24 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Central Connecticut | 30 | #84 | @ Montana State | 6-1 | 35 | L | Montana State (-43.84) | 0% | 38.84 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | 14 | @ Central Connecticut | 45 | W | Central Connecticut (-19.03) | 100% | 11.97 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Central Connecticut | 43 | #249 | @ Mercyhurst | 0-6 | 40 | W | Mercyhurst (+7.92) | 100% | -4.92 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #241 | New Haven | 2-5 | @ Central Connecticut | W | Central Connecticut (-9.11) | 71% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #238 | Robert Morris | 2-4 | @ Central Connecticut | W | Central Connecticut (-9.16) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Central Connecticut | #231 | @ Stonehill | 2-5 | W | Stonehill (+1.67) | 54% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Central Connecticut | #215 | @ Long Island University | 3-5 | W | Long Island University (+2.33) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #229 | Duquesne | 1-4 | @ Central Connecticut | W | Central Connecticut (-10.02) | 73% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-534.3% 26-431.6% 34-617.9% 47-311.3% 53-74.5% 62-80.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 11.3% | ||||||||||||||||