| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #249 | Mercyhurst | 0-6 | 10 | @ Youngstown State | 43 | W | Youngstown State (-21.26) | 100% | 11.74 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Youngstown State | 13 | #6 | @ Kentucky | 6-1 | 45 | L | Kentucky (-14.48) | 0% | -17.52 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #229 | Duquesne | 1-4 | 13 | @ Youngstown State | 70 | W | Youngstown State (-18.67) | 100% | 38.33 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Youngstown State | 20 | #90 | @ South Dakota State | 5-2 | 27 | L | South Dakota State (-5.28) | 0% | -1.72 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #92 | South Dakota | 6-2 | 28 | @ Youngstown State | 47 | W | Youngstown State (-2.49) | 100% | 16.51 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Youngstown State | 28 | #171 | @ Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 16 | W | Southern Illinois (+3.27) | 100% | 8.73 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Youngstown State | 57 | #188 | @ Indiana State | 2-5 | 24 | W | Indiana State (+16.30) | 100% | 16.70 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #127 | Northern Iowa | 3-3 | 22 | @ Youngstown State | 35 | W | Youngstown State (-15.15) | 100% | -2.15 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #98 | North Dakota | 6-2 | @ Youngstown State | W | Youngstown State (-10.37) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Youngstown State | #246 | @ Murray State | 1-6 | W | Murray State (+27.89) | 94% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | @ Youngstown State | W | Youngstown State (-8.05) | 69% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-248.1% 28-341.5% 37-410.0% 46-50.5% Chance of winning all 3 remaining games: 48.1% | ||||||||||||||||