| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Southern Illinois | 31 | #151 | @ West Florida | 3-2 | 34 | L | West Florida (-0.60) | 0% | -2.40 | ||||||
| 9/3/2026 | Southern Illinois | 22 | #233 | @ Samford | 1-6 | 18 | W | Samford (+20.26) | 100% | -16.26 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #155 | Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 20 | @ Southern Illinois | 34 | W | Southern Illinois (-14.30) | 100% | -0.30 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Southern Illinois | 10 | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | 48 | L | Illinois (-22.81) | 0% | -15.19 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Southern Illinois | 46 | #246 | @ Murray State | 1-6 | 6 | W | Murray State (+17.44) | 100% | 22.56 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #72 | Youngstown State | 6-2 | 28 | @ Southern Illinois | 16 | L | Southern Illinois (+3.27) | 0% | -8.73 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Southern Illinois | 10 | #92 | @ South Dakota | 6-2 | 31 | L | South Dakota (-10.01) | 0% | -10.99 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | 35 | @ Southern Illinois | 14 | L | Southern Illinois (+3.91) | 0% | -17.09 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #127 | Northern Iowa | 3-3 | @ Southern Illinois | W | Southern Illinois (-0.67) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Southern Illinois | #188 | @ Indiana State | 2-5 | W | Indiana State (+3.34) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #90 | South Dakota State | 5-2 | @ Southern Illinois | L | Southern Illinois (+10.25) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Southern Illinois | #98 | @ North Dakota | 6-2 | L | North Dakota (-12.98) | 21% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-736.7% 24-836.1% 36-613.8% 43-911.7% 57-51.7% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 1.7% | ||||||||||||||||