| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Northern Iowa | 24 | #186 | @ Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 34 | L | Eastern Washington (-5.13) | 0% | -4.87 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #251 | Drake | 2-4 | 14 | @ Northern Iowa | 56 | W | Northern Iowa (-8.86) | 100% | 33.14 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Northern Iowa | 0 | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | 55 | L | Iowa (-37.69) | 0% | -17.31 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #114 | Illinois State | 4-2 | 21 | @ Northern Iowa | 28 | W | Northern Iowa (+10.97) | 100% | 17.97 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #98 | North Dakota | 6-2 | 17 | @ Northern Iowa | 24 | W | Northern Iowa (+4.59) | 100% | 11.59 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Northern Iowa | 22 | #72 | @ Youngstown State | 6-2 | 35 | L | Youngstown State (-15.15) | 0% | 2.15 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Northern Iowa | #171 | @ Southern Illinois | 3-5 | L | Southern Illinois (-0.67) | 48% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #188 | Indiana State | 2-5 | @ Northern Iowa | W | Northern Iowa (-10.62) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #90 | South Dakota State | 5-2 | @ Northern Iowa | L | Northern Iowa (+7.20) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Northern Iowa | #92 | @ South Dakota | 6-2 | L | South Dakota (-13.01) | 21% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Northern Iowa | #246 | @ Murray State | 1-6 | W | Murray State (+17.13) | 85% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-536.9% 25-633.4% 37-415.6% 44-710.9% 58-32.1% 63-81.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.1% | ||||||||||||||||