| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #155 | Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 23 | @ Indiana State | 21 | L | Indiana State (-4.85) | 0% | -6.85 | ||||||
| 9/4/2026 | Indiana State | 19 | #56 | @ Purdue | 3-4 | 44 | L | Purdue (-26.17) | 0% | 1.17 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Indiana State | 42 | #220 | @ Eastern Illinois | 2-5 | 35 | W | Eastern Illinois (+1.80) | 100% | 5.20 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #257 | Valparaiso | 2-4 | 16 | @ Indiana State | 39 | W | Indiana State (-22.04) | 100% | 0.96 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #98 | North Dakota | 6-2 | 42 | @ Indiana State | 35 | L | Indiana State (+16.40) | 0% | 9.40 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Indiana State | 14 | #92 | @ South Dakota | 6-2 | 44 | L | South Dakota (-16.43) | 0% | -13.57 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #72 | Youngstown State | 6-2 | 57 | @ Indiana State | 24 | L | Indiana State (+16.30) | 0% | -16.70 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Indiana State | #114 | @ Illinois State | 4-2 | L | Illinois State (-16.31) | 16% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Indiana State | #127 | @ Northern Iowa | 3-3 | L | Northern Iowa (-10.62) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #171 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | @ Indiana State | L | Indiana State (+3.34) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #246 | Murray State | 1-6 | @ Indiana State | W | Indiana State (-12.95) | 79% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Indiana State | #90 | @ South Dakota State | 5-2 | L | South Dakota State (-21.70) | 10% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-839.2% 23-935.1% 35-716.0% 42-107.0% 56-62.6% 67-50.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||