| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #169 | Bryant | 5-2 | 3 | @ Army | 59 | W | Army (-30.87) | 100% | 25.13 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #71 | South Florida | 5-2 | 28 | @ Army | 24 | L | Army (+1.28) | 0% | -2.72 | ||||||
| 9/25/2026 | Army | 21 | #140 | @ Temple | 2-5 | 17 | W | Temple (+1.88) | 100% | 2.12 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Army | 29 | ✓ | #51 | @ Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | 31 | L | Louisiana Tech (+1.25) | 0% | -3.25 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | 17 | @ Army | 20 | W | Army (-5.88) | 100% | -2.88 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 24 | @ Army | 56 | W | Army (-6.03) | 100% | 25.97 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Army | #87 | @ Tulsa | 4-3 | W | Tulsa (+3.47) | 59% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Army | #55 | @ Memphis | 5-2 | L | Memphis (-4.30) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #65 | Air Force | 5-1 | @ Army | W | Army (-5.50) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #128 | East Carolina | 3-3 | @ Army | W | Army (-13.68) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Army | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | W | Rice (+12.42) | 78% | |||||||||
| 12/12/2026 | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | Army | ✓ | W | Army (-7.28) | 67% | ||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-434.3% 27-524.8% 39-323.5% 46-69.4% 510-26.1% 65-71.8% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 6.1% | ||||||||||||||||