| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | South Carolina State | 31 | #227 | Florida A&M | 1-5 | 13 | ✓ | W | Florida A&M (+16.12) | 100% | 1.88 | |||||
| 9/19/2026 | South Carolina State | 20 | #198 | @ Furman | 1-5 | 17 | W | Furman (+0.66) | 100% | 2.34 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | South Carolina State | 31 | #226 | @ Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | 21 | W | Bethune-Cookman (+9.97) | 100% | 0.03 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | 34 | @ South Carolina State | 31 | L | South Carolina State (-12.12) | 0% | -15.12 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | South Carolina State | 39 | #201 | @ Charleston Southern | 2-4 | 49 | L | Charleston Southern (+2.64) | 0% | -12.64 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #242 | Norfolk State | 2-3 | @ South Carolina State | W | South Carolina State (-8.98) | 71% | |||||||||
| 10/29/2026 | South Carolina State | #192 | @ Morgan State | 4-2 | W | Morgan State (+3.67) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/5/2026 | South Carolina State | #209 | @ Howard | 2-4 | W | Howard (+3.25) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #256 | North Carolina Central | 1-5 | @ South Carolina State | W | South Carolina State (-12.66) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #216 | Delaware State | 2-3 | @ South Carolina State | W | South Carolina State (-9.64) | 72% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-334.2% 26-432.9% 35-515.3% 48-213.8% 54-63.5% 63-70.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 13.8% | ||||||||||||||||