| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | North Carolina Central | 30 | #261 | @ Texas Southern | 1-5 | 42 | L | Texas Southern (+4.33) | 0% | -16.33 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #230 | North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | 22 | @ North Carolina Central | 30 | W | North Carolina Central (-22.79) | 100% | -14.79 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | North Carolina Central | 20 | #217 | @ Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 44 | L | Gardner-Webb (-9.93) | 0% | -14.07 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | North Carolina Central | 9 | ✓ | #128 | @ East Carolina | 3-3 | 42 | L | East Carolina (-36.98) | 0% | 3.98 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #129 | Campbell | 6-1 | 38 | @ North Carolina Central | 31 | L | North Carolina Central (+5.18) | 0% | -1.82 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | 17 | @ North Carolina Central | 14 | L | North Carolina Central (-5.04) | 0% | -8.04 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | North Carolina Central | #216 | @ Delaware State | 2-3 | L | Delaware State (-4.83) | 38% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | @ North Carolina Central | L | North Carolina Central (+1.75) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | North Carolina Central | #242 | @ Norfolk State | 2-3 | L | Norfolk State (-4.18) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | North Carolina Central | #194 | @ South Carolina State | 3-2 | L | South Carolina State (-12.66) | 22% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #192 | Morgan State | 4-2 | @ North Carolina Central | L | North Carolina Central (+1.63) | 46% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-835.1% 22-927.8% 34-721.5% 41-108.6% 55-66.3% 66-50.7% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.7% | ||||||||||||||||