| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Norfolk State | 10 | #160 | @ Old Dominion | 2-5 | 31 | L | Old Dominion (-48.75) | 0% | 27.75 | ||||||
| 9/11/2026 | Norfolk State | 3 | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | 59 | L | Virginia (-53.88) | 0% | -2.12 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #260 | Hampton | 0-6 | 21 | @ Norfolk State | 42 | W | Norfolk State (-11.26) | 100% | 9.74 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Norfolk State | 43 | #262 | @ Chicago State | 0-5 | 20 | W | Chicago State (-10.17) | 100% | 33.17 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Norfolk State | 31 | #238 | @ Robert Morris | 2-4 | 33 | L | Robert Morris (+2.19) | 0% | -4.19 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Norfolk State | #194 | @ South Carolina State | 3-2 | L | South Carolina State (-8.98) | 29% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #216 | Delaware State | 2-3 | @ Norfolk State | W | Norfolk State (-0.75) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #256 | North Carolina Central | 1-5 | @ Norfolk State | W | Norfolk State (-4.18) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Norfolk State | #192 | @ Morgan State | 4-2 | L | Morgan State (-2.62) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | @ Norfolk State | L | Norfolk State (+0.04) | 50% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-633.7% 25-529.7% 33-718.3% 46-412.5% 52-83.8% 67-32.0% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.0% | ||||||||||||||||