| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Morgan State | 17 | #230 | @ North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | 7 | W | North Carolina A&T (+5.36) | 100% | 4.64 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Morgan State | 7 | #89 | @ Arizona State | 3-3 | 70 | L | Arizona State (-41.23) | 0% | -21.77 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Morgan State | 41 | #248 | @ Towson | 0-8 | 26 | W | Towson (-11.30) | 100% | 26.30 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Morgan State | 38 | #206 | @ Villanova | 3-4 | 35 | W | Villanova (-10.26) | 100% | 13.26 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #238 | Robert Morris | 2-4 | 27 | @ Morgan State | 28 | W | Morgan State (-4.84) | 100% | -3.84 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Morgan State | 16 | #210 | @ Tennessee State | 2-5 | 25 | L | Tennessee State (+1.74) | 0% | -10.74 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | @ Morgan State | W | Morgan State (-2.04) | 55% | |||||||||
| 10/29/2026 | #194 | South Carolina State | 3-2 | @ Morgan State | L | Morgan State (+3.67) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Morgan State | #216 | @ Delaware State | 2-3 | L | Delaware State (-0.91) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #242 | Norfolk State | 2-3 | @ Morgan State | W | Morgan State (-2.62) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Morgan State | #256 | @ North Carolina Central | 1-5 | W | North Carolina Central (+1.63) | 54% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-432.0% 26-530.9% 38-316.3% 45-614.7% 59-23.3% 64-72.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.3% | ||||||||||||||||