| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #185 | Stony Brook | 4-3 | 34 | @ Delaware State | 41 | W | Delaware State (+1.39) | 100% | 8.39 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Delaware State | 15 | #228 | @ William & Mary | 3-4 | 22 | L | William & Mary (-8.34) | 0% | 1.34 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Delaware State | 17 | #71 | @ South Florida | 5-2 | 59 | L | South Florida (-39.72) | 0% | -2.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #248 | Towson | 0-8 | 28 | @ Delaware State | 33 | W | Delaware State (-3.45) | 100% | 1.55 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Delaware State | 3 | #150 | @ UAlbany | 4-3 | 28 | L | UAlbany (-0.71) | 0% | -24.29 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | #256 | North Carolina Central | 1-5 | @ Delaware State | W | Delaware State (-4.83) | 62% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Delaware State | #242 | @ Norfolk State | 2-3 | L | Norfolk State (-0.75) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #192 | Morgan State | 4-2 | @ Delaware State | W | Delaware State (-0.91) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Delaware State | #209 | @ Howard | 2-4 | L | Howard (-3.28) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Delaware State | #194 | @ South Carolina State | 3-2 | L | South Carolina State (-9.64) | 28% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-634.1% 25-529.3% 33-718.9% 46-411.9% 52-84.0% 67-31.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.8% | ||||||||||||||||