| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19/2026 | Yale | 38 | #207 | @ Holy Cross | 2-5 | 28 | W | Holy Cross (+14.97) | 100% | -4.97 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Yale | 25 | #117 | @ Cornell | 3-2 | 38 | L | Cornell (+10.21) | 0% | -23.21 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #244 | Merrimack | 2-5 | 24 | @ Yale | 41 | W | Yale (-17.57) | 100% | -0.57 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #200 | Dartmouth | 2-3 | 7 | @ Yale | 28 | W | Yale (-4.29) | 100% | 16.71 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #180 | Rhode Island | 4-3 | 41 | @ Yale | 23 | L | Yale (-8.91) | 0% | -26.91 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | Yale | #211 | @ Pennsylvania | 2-3 | W | Pennsylvania (+1.88) | 55% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Yale | #158 | @ Columbia | 4-1 | W | Columbia (+3.92) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #167 | Brown | 2-3 | @ Yale | W | Yale (-1.52) | 54% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #105 | Princeton | 4-1 | @ Yale | L | Yale (+1.88) | 45% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Yale | #80 | Harvard | 5-0 | ✓ | L | Harvard (-8.89) | 29% | ||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-532.8% 26-431.0% 34-616.7% 47-313.9% 53-73.3% 68-22.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.3% | ||||||||||||||||