| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19/2026 | Pennsylvania | 20 | #258 | @ Bucknell | 1-6 | 7 | W | Bucknell (+8.40) | 100% | 4.60 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #113 | Lehigh | 6-1 | 20 | @ Pennsylvania | 7 | L | Pennsylvania (+9.90) | 0% | -3.10 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Pennsylvania | 10 | #200 | @ Dartmouth | 2-3 | 14 | L | Dartmouth (-5.98) | 0% | 1.98 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | 20 | @ Pennsylvania | 24 | W | Pennsylvania (-13.39) | 100% | -9.39 | ||||||
| 10/16/2026 | #158 | Columbia | 4-1 | 28 | @ Pennsylvania | 27 | L | Pennsylvania (-7.02) | 0% | -8.02 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | #173 | Yale | 3-2 | @ Pennsylvania | L | Pennsylvania (+1.88) | 45% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Pennsylvania | #167 | @ Brown | 2-3 | L | Brown (-6.87) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Pennsylvania | #117 | @ Cornell | 3-2 | L | Cornell (-9.90) | 27% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #80 | Harvard | 5-0 | @ Pennsylvania | L | Pennsylvania (+10.26) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Pennsylvania | #105 | @ Princeton | 4-1 | L | Princeton (-10.95) | 25% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-735.1% 24-632.4% 32-814.6% 45-514.5% 56-43.2% 67-30.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||