| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/19/2026 | #235 | Lafayette | 2-4 | 34 | @ Columbia | 40 | W | Columbia (-1.72) | 100% | 4.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Columbia | 20 | #204 | @ Georgetown | 2-4 | 17 | W | Georgetown (+3.92) | 100% | -0.92 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #105 | Princeton | 4-1 | 35 | @ Columbia | 7 | L | Columbia (+3.82) | 0% | -24.18 | ||||||
| 10/9/2026 | Columbia | 41 | #232 | @ Marist | 3-3 | 28 | W | Marist (-3.63) | 100% | 16.63 | ||||||
| 10/16/2026 | Columbia | 28 | #211 | @ Pennsylvania | 2-3 | 27 | W | Pennsylvania (-7.02) | 100% | 8.02 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #200 | Dartmouth | 2-3 | @ Columbia | L | Columbia (+0.72) | 48% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #173 | Yale | 3-2 | @ Columbia | L | Columbia (+3.92) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Columbia | #80 | @ Harvard | 5-0 | L | Harvard (-16.46) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Columbia | #167 | @ Brown | 2-3 | L | Brown (-9.04) | 29% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #117 | Cornell | 3-2 | @ Columbia | L | Columbia (+9.71) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-534.6% 26-433.5% 37-315.2% 44-613.4% 58-23.2% 69-10.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.2% | ||||||||||||||||