| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Stony Brook | 34 | #216 | @ Delaware State | 2-3 | 41 | L | Delaware State (+1.39) | 0% | -8.39 | ||||||
| 9/3/2026 | #219 | Lindenwood | 2-4 | 32 | @ Stony Brook | 36 | W | Stony Brook (-5.56) | 100% | -1.56 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Stony Brook | 17 | #138 | @ Ball State | 2-5 | 41 | L | Ball State (-5.90) | 0% | -18.10 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #180 | Rhode Island | 4-3 | 24 | @ Stony Brook | 56 | W | Stony Brook (+6.34) | 100% | 38.34 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Stony Brook | 31 | #225 | @ Fordham | 2-6 | 16 | W | Fordham (+6.63) | 100% | 8.37 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Stony Brook | 31 | #248 | @ Towson | 0-8 | 24 | W | Towson (+7.32) | 100% | -0.32 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #150 | UAlbany | 4-3 | 48 | @ Stony Brook | 31 | L | Stony Brook (-5.41) | 0% | -22.41 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Stony Brook | #169 | @ Bryant | 5-2 | W | Bryant (+0.18) | 50% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #240 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | @ Stony Brook | W | Stony Brook (-11.53) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Stony Brook | #129 | @ Campbell | 6-1 | L | Campbell (-4.66) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Stony Brook | #243 | @ New Hampshire | 2-6 | W | New Hampshire (+4.81) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #260 | Hampton | 0-6 | @ Stony Brook | W | Stony Brook (-23.89) | 92% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-537.6% 28-430.1% 36-619.6% 49-38.4% 55-74.1% 64-80.2% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 8.4% | ||||||||||||||||