| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Monmouth | 14 | #112 | @ Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 38 | L | Tennessee Tech (-6.96) | 0% | -17.04 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #240 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | 24 | @ Monmouth | 31 | W | Monmouth (-9.20) | 100% | -2.20 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Monmouth | 14 | #50 | @ Western Michigan | 5-2 | 49 | L | Western Michigan (-26.22) | 0% | -8.78 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Monmouth | 28 | #150 | @ UAlbany | 4-3 | 20 | W | UAlbany (-2.27) | 100% | 10.27 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Monmouth | 31 | #200 | @ Dartmouth | 2-3 | 28 | W | Dartmouth (-6.42) | 100% | 9.42 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #248 | Towson | 0-8 | 40 | @ Monmouth | 41 | W | Monmouth (-12.09) | 100% | -11.09 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Monmouth | 42 | #243 | @ New Hampshire | 2-6 | 21 | W | New Hampshire (+3.43) | 100% | 17.57 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Monmouth | #260 | @ Hampton | 0-6 | W | Hampton (+17.04) | 85% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #169 | Bryant | 5-2 | @ Monmouth | W | Monmouth (-7.04) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #230 | North Carolina A&T | 3-5 | @ Monmouth | W | Monmouth (-13.82) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #244 | Merrimack | 2-5 | @ Monmouth | W | Monmouth (-13.76) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Monmouth | #129 | @ Campbell | 6-1 | L | Campbell (-4.34) | 39% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-338.7% 28-432.9% 310-214.2% 47-512.1% 56-62.0% 65-70.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 14.2% | ||||||||||||||||