| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/30/2026 | Southern Utah | 21 | #130 | @ Montana | 5-3 | 28 | L | Montana (-14.30) | 0% | 7.30 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | #149 | Weber State | 5-3 | 42 | @ Southern Utah | 47 | W | Southern Utah (-13.43) | 100% | -8.43 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Southern Utah | 24 | #99 | @ Colorado State | 2-4 | 58 | L | Colorado State (-8.45) | 0% | -25.55 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Southern Utah | 26 | #202 | @ St. Thomas (MN) | 3-2 | 28 | L | St. Thomas (MN) (+0.11) | 0% | -2.11 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | #164 | Idaho State | 4-3 | 28 | @ Southern Utah | 24 | L | Southern Utah (+8.10) | 0% | 4.10 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | Southern Utah | 46 | #237 | @ Utah Tech | 0-7 | 33 | W | Utah Tech (+12.34) | 100% | 0.66 | ||||||
| 10/18/2026 | #181 | UC Davis | 4-3 | 17 | @ Southern Utah | 38 | W | Southern Utah (-3.89) | 100% | 17.11 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Southern Utah | #152 | @ Idaho | 2-5 | L | Idaho (-5.14) | 37% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #100 | Northern Arizona | 6-2 | @ Southern Utah | L | Southern Utah (+1.69) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #197 | Northern Colorado | 2-5 | @ Southern Utah | W | Southern Utah (-2.92) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Southern Utah | #184 | @ Portland State | 2-5 | W | Portland State (+5.59) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #262 | Chicago State | 0-5 | @ Southern Utah | W | Southern Utah (-25.86) | 93% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-637.7% 25-724.9% 37-524.7% 44-86.6% 58-45.8% 63-90.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 5.8% | ||||||||||||||||