| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #181 | UC Davis | 4-3 | 31 | @ Portland State | 24 | L | Portland State (+15.72) | 0% | 8.72 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Portland State | 20 | #81 | @ San Diego State | 3-4 | 53 | L | San Diego State (-36.19) | 0% | 3.19 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | #98 | North Dakota | 6-2 | 47 | @ Portland State | 23 | L | Portland State (+20.11) | 0% | -3.89 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Portland State | 0 | #12 | @ Oregon | 4-2 | 84 | L | Oregon (-51.66) | 0% | -32.34 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Portland State | 44 | #149 | @ Weber State | 5-3 | 41 | W | Weber State (-12.04) | 100% | 15.04 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #237 | Utah Tech | 0-7 | 14 | @ Portland State | 30 | W | Portland State (-3.58) | 100% | 12.42 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Portland State | 25 | #100 | @ Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 38 | L | Northern Arizona (-19.64) | 0% | 6.64 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Portland State | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | L | Idaho State (-13.26) | 21% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #152 | Idaho | 2-5 | @ Portland State | L | Portland State (+8.41) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Portland State | #130 | @ Montana | 5-3 | L | Montana (-18.60) | 13% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #177 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | @ Portland State | L | Portland State (+5.59) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Portland State | #186 | @ Eastern Washington | 2-6 | L | Eastern Washington (-10.06) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-939.8% 24-827.4% 32-1022.3% 45-79.0% 56-61.4% 67-50.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||