| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #186 | Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 27 | @ Northern Arizona | 34 | W | Northern Arizona (-10.68) | 100% | -3.68 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Northern Arizona | 7 | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | 35 | L | Arizona (-27.87) | 0% | -0.13 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 28 | @ Northern Arizona | 38 | W | Northern Arizona (-7.70) | 100% | 2.30 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Northern Arizona | 35 | #237 | @ Utah Tech | 0-7 | 23 | W | Utah Tech (+12.45) | 100% | -0.45 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Northern Arizona | 14 | #84 | @ Montana State | 6-1 | 28 | L | Montana State (-22.86) | 0% | 8.86 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | Northern Arizona | 38 | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | 31 | W | Idaho State (-10.55) | 100% | 17.55 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #130 | Montana | 5-3 | 44 | @ Northern Arizona | 49 | W | Northern Arizona (+5.15) | 100% | 10.15 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #184 | Portland State | 2-5 | 25 | @ Northern Arizona | 38 | W | Northern Arizona (-19.64) | 100% | -6.64 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Northern Arizona | #177 | @ Southern Utah | 3-4 | W | Southern Utah (+1.69) | 54% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Northern Arizona | #190 | @ Cal Poly | 3-4 | W | Cal Poly (+5.22) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #149 | Weber State | 5-3 | @ Northern Arizona | W | Northern Arizona (-7.62) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #197 | Northern Colorado | 2-5 | @ Northern Arizona | W | Northern Arizona (-9.01) | 71% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-338.1% 28-432.1% 310-216.5% 47-511.7% 56-61.6% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 16.5% | ||||||||||||||||