| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/30/2026 | #177 | Southern Utah | 3-4 | 21 | @ Montana | 28 | W | Montana (-14.30) | 100% | -7.30 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #251 | Drake | 2-4 | 10 | @ Montana | 45 | W | Montana (-25.14) | 100% | 9.86 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #237 | Utah Tech | 0-7 | 14 | @ Montana | 35 | W | Montana (-35.92) | 100% | -14.92 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Montana | 17 | #30 | @ Oregon State | 5-2 | 52 | L | Oregon State (-2.06) | 0% | -32.94 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Montana | 62 | #181 | @ UC Davis | 4-3 | 22 | W | UC Davis (+2.25) | 100% | 37.75 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #197 | Northern Colorado | 2-5 | 14 | @ Montana | 36 | W | Montana (-18.85) | 100% | 3.15 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Montana | 44 | #100 | @ Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 49 | L | Northern Arizona (+5.15) | 0% | -10.15 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #152 | Idaho | 2-5 | 42 | @ Montana | 35 | L | Montana (-13.42) | 0% | -20.42 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Montana | #186 | @ Eastern Washington | 2-6 | W | Eastern Washington (+4.90) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #184 | Portland State | 2-5 | @ Montana | W | Montana (-18.60) | 87% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #164 | Idaho State | 4-3 | @ Montana | W | Montana (-7.80) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Montana | #84 | @ Montana State | 6-1 | L | Montana State (-12.94) | 22% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-539.0% 28-438.6% 36-613.3% 49-37.9% 55-71.3% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 7.9% | ||||||||||||||||